The housing market situation is fundamentally different from that during the great recession of 2008. One of the key reasons why house prices have not declined significantly is because of the very low inventory of homes available for sale. There were fewer than one million existing homes available for sale in January 2023 compared to over 3 million in any month during 2007-2008.

High home prices coupled with high interest rates made purchasing a house increasingly unaffordable. As a result, demand for home purchases fell. Pending sales across the United States decreased by over 40% from mid-June to the end of 2022.

In this short article, we look at three different consumer mortgage metrics when comparing the economic conditions today to the Great Recession over a decade ago.

So, we asked ChatGPT: Which metros witnessed the most iBuyers purchases in 2022? Here’s ChatGPT’s surprising response…

Housing market forecasts for 2023 have varied predictions, with some expecting gains of around 5% to others expecting a deterioration of over 5%. What is clear is that the era of low mortgage rates, buying frenzy, and double-digit price growths is over.

It was one of the fastest growing markets in 2021 and is now expected to be one of the worst performers in 2023.
Home prices in Boise, Idaho rose rapidly after the pandemic hit, climbing 38.6% y-o-y from Q2 2020 to Q2 2021.

As 2022 winds down and we enter 2023, there are many predictions going around with respect to what will happen to the housing market in the next year. Here is a recap of 2022 and what we can expect going forward.

Some are predicting prices to depreciate by 20%, while others are forecasting smaller declines, and few are calling for an increase in prices. The low inventory that is available for sale is what is preventing house prices from a steep decline. Higher mortgage rates have impacted demand, but have also frozen up supply.