VeroFORECAST Continues to Predict Overall Market Strength and Washington State is Set to Explode
Jan 10, 2018
VeroFORECAST Reveals a Record Breaker as Washington State Markets Occupy All Top 5 Markets in the Country
Santa Ana, Calif. – January 10, 2018 – Veros Real Estate Solutions (Veros), an award-winning industry leader in enterprise risk management, collateral valuation services and predictive analytics, today reports that residential market values will continue their overall upward trends during the next 12 months, with overall annual forecast appreciation of +4.2% which is higher than last quarter’s forecast appreciation of +4.0%. And, only 3% of markets are expected to depreciate which is the same as last quarter’s forecast.
This insight comes from the company’s most recent VeroFORECASTSM, a quarterly national real estate market forecast for the 12-month period ending December 1, 2018.
“Our Q4 VeroFORECAST is continuing to show the market as very strong for the overall U.S. residential real estate market,” says Eric Fox, VP of Statistical and Economic Modeling at Veros. “Washington State is set to boom– occupying all of the Top 5 market spots. This has never happened before with one state occupying all of the top positions. Seattle is #1 with expected appreciation of over 12% followed by other Washington markets of Bellingham, Bremerton, Kennewick, and Mount Vernon all near 10%. These markets show no signs of letting up as supply of homes is exceedingly low and population continues to grow.”
Fox continues, “Metro areas in Colorado, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington comprise the remaining metro areas in the Top 10. If you want strong appreciation, move to the Northwest portion of the U.S. “
Conversely, 12 of the bottom 25 markets are in the Northeastern states of Connecticut, New Jersey, Maine, West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and New York. Bangor, Maine is forecast to be the worst performing market with 2.0% depreciation with the markets of Bridgeport, Longview, Vineland, and Atlantic City forecast to have approximately 1.0% depreciation over the coming year.
“Unfortunately, the fundamentals of these markets remain static with flat or declining populations and relatively high unemployment rates,” Fox explains. “These factors contribute to a high housing supply with low demand that are unlikely to change anytime soon.”
“Some interesting trends are also emerging with this forecast. Parts of California are starting to see an uptick in forecast appreciation with top performing markets such as San Diego, San Jose, Los Angeles, and Sacramento expected to have appreciation from 7.5% to 8.0% which is up from 6.5% to 7.5% from the last update.” Fox continues, “Also, many Texas markets are softening with Dallas and Austin losing 1% in forecast appreciation since the last update.”
Additional forecasts and infographics for U.S. markets available to the press for download and upon request.
Download the Full Map & VeroFORECAST Report (infographics image)
Download the Full Map & VeroFORECAST Report (infographics PDF)
Download Top/Bottom 25 Metrics Table
Download Overall National Projection
Download the Top 25 Markets (graphics)
Download the Bottom 25 Markets (graphics)
Download Press Release in PDF
About Veros Real Estate Solutions
Veros Real Estate Solutions, a proven leader in enterprise risk management and collateral valuation services, uniquely combines the power of predictive technology, data analytics and industry expertise to deliver advanced automated decisioning solutions. Veros products and services are optimizing millions of profitable decisions throughout the mortgage industry, from loan origination through servicing and securitization. Veros provides solutions to control risk and increase profits including automated valuations, fraud and risk detection, portfolio analysis, forecasting, and next-generation collateral risk management platforms. Veros is headquartered in Santa Ana, Calif. For more information, please visit www.veros.com or call (866) 458-3767.
About Eric Fox, VP of Statistical and Economic Modeling:
Eric Fox received his M.S. in Statistics and B.S. in Mathematics and Economics from Purdue University, and has 30 years of industrial experience in statistical and econometric modeling, probabilistic life methodology development, statistical training, probabilistic design software development, and probabilistic financial/competitive analysis. Fox has published more than 20 technical papers on probabilistic and statistical methods.
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Forecast data is as of December 2017. Markets demonstrated are for residential real estate in major areas (typically greater than 300,000 residents and could include areas in which population is relatively low such as 100,000 residents) among single-family homes in the median price tier. Contact Veros for additional information.
VeroFORECAST is a registered service mark of Veros Software. All rights reserved.